If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose the election. If five or fewer are false, it is expected to win. In September, Lichtman officially forecast that Harris would win the election, based on the keys. But Trump won by a ...
These may not be the best numbers, but they are below average errors, i.e., as I suggested previously, the average error in the last week's national polls for all presidential elections between 1952 and 2020 is 2.5 points, and it is larger still in the states.
In May, a New York jury found Trump guilty of falsifying business records. The convictions stemmed from Trump’s attempt to cover up reimbursements to his ex-lawyer, Michael Cohen, who in 2016 paid off an adult film star to remain silent about an alleged sexual encounter with Trump.
The 2024 presidential election is over, but the path to Inauguration Day on Jan. 20 is just beginning. The votes have to be certified in the states, the Electoral College has to meet and then Congress counts the vote.
Donald Trump is preparing for his presidential transition after winning the election against Vice President Kamala Harris. Follow here for the latest live news updates on the 2024 election.
Longtime Democrat Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey squared up for what he said was a "close" race against Trump-backed Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
Follow Colorado House District 8 election results live during the 2024 election. Get updates on voting outcomes from the Colorado House election, including maps from NBC News.
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